The US dollar has lost 99% of its value since the Federal Reserve was created. Here's how wealthy investors think about currency risk.
The Dollar Problem
Since 1913, the dollar has lost 99% of its purchasing power against gold. Since 1971 (end of Bretton Woods), the dollar has lost 85%+:
- Inflation: Official 3-4%, unofficial 6-8%
- Debt: $34+ trillion and climbing
- Monetization: Fed buying treasury debt
This is why wealthy people think about non-dollar assets.
Simple International Diversification
International Stock Funds
Not just US stocks:
- Vanguard Total World Stock (VT): Global market cap weighted
- iShares MSCI ACWI (ACWI): Similar, slightly different
- Developed international: VEA, IEFA
- Emerging markets: VWO, EEM
This exposes you to currency but doesn't break the bank.
Single-Country Funds
More targeted exposure:
- Switzerland: EWL (low debt, strong banking)
- Germany: EWG (industrial backbone)
- Japan: EWJ (structural reforms)
Hard Currency Alternatives
Foreign Bonds
Government bonds of other countries:
- Swiss bonds: Negative yields historically, safe haven
- German bunds: Europe's safe haven
- Emerging market debt: Higher yields, higher risk
Note: Currency risk cuts both ways—can help or hurt.
The oldest money:
- GLD: Physical gold ETF
- PPLT: Platinum
- Palladium: (more industrial)
Gold up 3x since 2000, while dollar lost 80%+.
Bitcoin
For therypto-curious:
- Store of value narrative: Digital gold
- Supply cap: 21 million fixed
- Volatility: Not for the faint of heart
Down 50%+ multiple times, up 100%+ multiple times.
Real Estate International
For the geographically diverse:
- US real estate: Dollar-denominated income
- UK property: Pound exposure, strong tenant protections
- Schengen access: Portugal, Greece, Spain residency
Get citizenship/residency by investment (golden visa) = optional exit.
The Counter-Argument
Dollar strength is also a story:
- Reserve currency status: Everyone needs dollars for oil, commodities
- US Rule of Law: Property rights, courts, stability
- Military superpower: Backstop for dollar
- Innovation hub: Tech, pharma, finance leadership
Sometimes the dollar goes up when chaos rises globally.
The Practical Approach
Many wealthy families do a simple 10-20% international allocation:
| Asset Class | Allocation |
|---|
| US Stocks | 60% |
| International Stocks | 15% |
| International Bonds | 10% |
| Gold | 5% |
| Real Assets | 10% |
This gives some currency diversification without overcomplicating.
Don't Overdo It
Common mistakes:
- More expensive: International funds often have higher expense ratios
- More complex: Foreign tax documents, currency conversion
- Trading issues: Liquidity is often lower
- Home bias is rational: Sometimes US really is the best bet
Bottom Line
Some international diversification is reasonable for $1M+ portfolios:
- 10-20% global stocks: Easy via VT or ACWI
- 5-10% gold: Hedge against monetary expansion
- Possibly real estate: If you travel regularly or want options
The key is not timing currency—you can't—but having a balanced portfolio that doesn't dependent on one currency's perpetuity.